Business Cycle

The business cycle can easily be predicted by looking at the companys GDP and the markets inflation. These stages can have a very big influence over purchasing stocks for any company. In an ideal world, purchasing stocks it is a better idea to purchase during the depression or expansion period. This ensures you will be paying for shares at a low price while being able to expect future growth (whether you hold or sell your stocks at the boom is your decision). I know this is easier said than done and it is said to be impossible to time the market, but you must do this to the best of your ability. Follow the company to see where it is going. Think ahead a few months at a time.

NYU "Investing Like A Wallstreet Pro", 2024


NYU "Investing Like A Wallstreet Pro", 2024                                                                                                             NYU "Investing Like A Wallstreet Pro", 2024

On the left a graph of sales over time is shown. though the graph is pretty staright forward let me break it down. Maturity of a company is when its stocks are the highest; people know of this company and its profits are rising. As an investor this would usually mean it is too late to buy. Before buying stocks it is important to know your risk tolerance. Knowing this you will know the best time to buy.  The graph on the right is the break down of the time investors buy. If you are a riskier investor you will be buying a companys shares more on the left side of the graph. The prices will be low but you are willing to give the company a chance to reach maturity and give you a big payout. The less riskier you are the more skeptical you are. You need the most information and will potentially gain less money. You may also miss the entire chance of the companys maturity and find your interest on its decline. This is ok. The decline is not permanent and will continue to move. It may be best to wait. FIND THE TRENDS!!!



The two pictures on the left are comparing the company Apple to its index (Nasdaq).  Nasdaq mainly focuses on technological companies which is why we are comparing it to Apple.  The comparison on the top analyzes the similarities of growth. We can see that there are parts of the chart that move together meaning Apples beta is closer to one. Also since Apple is outperforming the index we can assume that it will continue to produce higher returns. By watching a specific market we can help predict a companies future.

Morningstar, 2024

This chart compares Nasdaqs and Apples P/E ratio.  This shows whether or not a companies P/E ratio is considered high or low for a market. Many young investors will favor the company that has a higher ratio. For this chart, Nasdaq ends with a higher P/E ratio than Apple.  This shows that the market is more volatile and potentially has a high expectation of future growth. This could mean that Apple may not do as well as the index.

Macrotrends, 2024


App Economy Insights, 2024                                                                                                                                      App Economy Insights, 2024

The pictures above are representations of companies financial statements. This breakdowns a companys spending, capital gain, and their equity. As a potential shareholder it is a wise descision to be looking at a companies financial statements. Seeing a companys financial statement should play a huge role in your decision to become a shareholder. As a potential investor you want to see if the company is making smart choices with their money(obviously). Through these representations we can see how much money they are losing, gaining, or just wasting.